This Week's Other Stories:
COMMENT: On Raw Milk Cheese, FDA Should Listen To Europe
LEAD STORY: Raw Milk Cheese: FDA Gets Input On 60-Day Aging, Indicator Organisms, Other Issues
NEWS: Numerous Cheese, Dairy-Related Projects Receive USDA Value-Added Producer Grants
Wisconsin Makes Its Case Out West
by John Umhoefer
Penn State’s Berkey Creamery Celebrates 150 Years; Expansion Plans On Horizon
USDA Lowers 2016 Milk Production Forecast, Also Reduces Cheese, NDM, Class III Price Forecasts
The US Department of Agriculture (USDA), in its monthly supply-demand estimates released Tuesday, lowered its milk production forecasts for both 2015 and 2016 while also reducing several dairy product and milk price forecasts.
USDA is reducing its milk production forecasts from last month as the dairy herd is expected to decline more rapidly from its second-quarter peak and growth in milk per cow in 2015 remains slower than expected.
Milk production this year is now projected to reach a record 208.7 billion pounds, up 2.7 billion pounds from 2014 but down 200 million pounds from last month’s forecast; and then rise to 212.9 billion pounds next year.
US dairy exports are reduced on weaker cheese, butter and whey product sales. Largely uncompetitive prices are likely to limit growth in export sales of butter and, to a lesser extent, cheese in 2016, and fat-based exports are reduced.
Strong domestic butter demand is expected to support relatively high butter prices during the rest of 2015, but supplies are expected to be large, and the 2016 price forecast is lowered. USDA now expects butter prices to average $2.0050 to $2.0350 per pound this year and $1.8350 to $1.9550 per pound in 2016.
Cheese prices are lowered for 2015 and 2016 as supplies remain large. Cheese prices are projected to average $1.6450 to $1.6550 per pound in 2015 and $1.5950 to $1.6850 a pound in 2016.
The nonfat dry milk price forecasts are reduced for 2015 and 2016 as prices move closer to international levels. NDM prices are projected to average 90.0 to 92.0 cents per pound this year .. send me more information